论文标题
朝着数据驱动的建模和太阳耀斑和冠状质量弹出的实时预测
Towards data-driven modeling and real-time prediction of solar flares and coronal mass ejections
论文作者
论文摘要
太阳大气中瞬态事件的建模需要3个关键要素的汇合：（1）模型复杂，（2）数据可用性和（3）数据同化。这份白皮书描述了所需的进步，该进步将实现与地球上天气预测的类似的统计耀斑和CME预测（例如，喷发概率和时机，强度估计以及CME细节，例如速度和磁场方向）。
Modeling of transient events in the solar atmosphere requires the confluence of 3 critical elements: (1) model sophistication, (2) data availability, and (3) data assimilation. This white paper describes required advances that will enable statistical flare and CME forecasting (e.g. eruption probability and timing, estimation of strength, and CME details, such as speed and magnetic field orientation) similar to weather prediction on Earth.
