论文标题
使用基于活动的可访问性评估自动车辆对住宅位置分配的影响：日本区域的案例研究
Evaluating the Impact of Automated Vehicles on Residential Location Distribution using Activity-based Accessibility: A Case Study of Japanese Regional Areas
论文作者
论文摘要
预计自动车辆（AV）将来会破坏运输部门。广泛的研究工作一直致力于研究其潜在影响。但是，现有文献在长期影响方面仍受到限制。为了填补这一空白，本文估算并验证了住宅位置选择模型，以评估AVS在日本地区区域中对住宅位置分布的影响。基于活动的可访问性用于反映运输成本中AV的变化。 2040年被视为分析的背景，在这种分析中，在情景环境中反映了人口减少的影响以及其他一些变量，以适应AVS特征的不确定性。模拟结果证实了城市扩张的潜力。结果表明，与基本情况相比，两个AV方案分别扩大了住宅和最接近的住宅吸引区域之间的中位距离和最接近的住宅吸引区域。然后将两项假设的政策授权应用于缓解问题。结果表明，通过相对保守的AV设置，为土地价格提供20％的补贴对场景有效，因为中位距离指标可以恢复到基本场景的水平。
Automated Vehicles (AVs) are expected to disrupt the transport sector in the future. Extensive research efforts have been dedicated to studying its potential implications. However, the existing literature is yet limited regarding the long-term impacts. To fill this gap, this paper estimates and validates a residential location choice model to evaluate the impacts of AVs on residential location distributions in a context of Japanese regional area. Activity-based accessibility is used to reflect the changes from AVs in transport costs. The year 2040 is set as the backdrop for the analyses, where the effects of the decreased population are reflected in the scenario settings, along with some other variables to accommodate the uncertainties in the characteristics of AVs. The simulation results confirm the potential of urban expansion. The results demonstrate that, compared to Base Scenario, the median distances between the residences and the closest Dwelling Attraction Areas expand by 7.2% and 41.6% for two AV scenarios, respectively. Two hypothetical policy mandates are then applied to alleviate the problem. The results suggest that providing a 20% subsidy to the land price is effective for the scenario with relatively conservative AV settings, as the median distance indicator can be resumed to the level of Base Scenario.
