论文标题

进行实用的量子信用风险分析

Towards practical Quantum Credit Risk Analysis

论文作者

Dri, Emanuele, Giusto, Edoardo, Aita, Antonello, Montrucchio, Bartolomeo

论文摘要

近年来,已经引入了对经典类似方法的CRA(信用风险分析)量子算法。我们提出了这种量子算法的新变体,目的是克服这种方法的一些最重要的局限性(根据商业领域的专家)。特别是,我们描述了一种为每个投资组合资产的默认概率实施更现实和复杂的风险模型的方法,能够考虑到多个系统性风险因素。此外,我们提供了一种解决方案,以提高模型输入之一的灵活性,默认值给定的损失,从而消除了使用整数值的约束。这种特定的改进解决了使用来自金融部门的实际数据以建立公平的基准协议的需求。尽管这些增强功能是基于电路深度和宽度的成本,但它们仍然显示出通往更现实的软件解决方案的途径。量子技术的最新进展表明,最终,Qubits的数量和可靠性的提高将允许金融领域的有用结果和有意义的规模,也可以在实际的量子硬件上,为该领域的具体量子优势铺平了道路。本文还描述了对模拟器进行的实验,以测试提出的电路,并评估所提出的方法的可扩展性。

In recent years, a CRA (Credit Risk Analysis) quantum algorithm with a quadratic speedup over classical analogous methods has been introduced. We propose a new variant of this quantum algorithm with the intent of overcoming some of the most significant limitations (according to business domain experts) of this approach. In particular, we describe a method to implement a more realistic and complex risk model for the default probability of each portfolio's asset, capable of taking into account multiple systemic risk factors. In addition, we present a solution to increase the flexibility of one of the model's inputs, the Loss Given Default, removing the constraint to use integer values. This specific improvement addresses the need to use real data coming from the financial sector in order to establish fair benchmarking protocols. Although these enhancements come at a cost in terms of circuit depth and width, they nevertheless show a path towards a more realistic software solution. Recent progress in quantum technology shows that eventually, the increase in the number and reliability of qubits will allow for useful results and meaningful scales for the financial sector, also on real quantum hardware, paving the way for a concrete quantum advantage in the field. The paper also describes experiments conducted on simulators to test the circuit proposed and contains an assessment of the scalability of the approach presented.

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