论文标题
在制裁战争中俄罗斯农业产业
Russian Agricultural Industry under Sanction Wars
论文作者
论文摘要
专注于经济制裁的动机是它们有效性的混合证据。我们在2014年之后评估制裁对俄罗斯国际贸易贸易流的作用。从2010年到2020年，我们在俄罗斯使用贸易流量数据的差异差异模型。主要的期望是，由于俄罗斯经济失去了进口商，俄罗斯经济将受到打击。我们评估了俄罗斯食品禁运对农产品的经济影响，质疑它是否达到了目标，并为国内农业部门的发展带来了机会之窗。我们的结果证实，制裁对食品进口产生了重大影响。自实施制裁以来的头两年中，他们几乎减半了。但是，俄罗斯已经踏上了减少对粮食进口和管理自给自足农业生产的依赖的道路。
The motivation for focusing on economic sanctions is the mixed evidence of their effectiveness. We assess the role of sanctions on the Russian international trade flow of agricultural products after 2014. We use a differences-in-differences model of trade flows data for imported and exported agricultural products from 2010 to 2020 in Russia. The main expectation was that the Russian economy would take a hit since it had lost its importers. We assess the economic impact of the Russian food embargo on agricultural commodities, questioning whether it has achieved its objective and resulted in a window of opportunity for the development of the domestic agricultural sector. Our results confirm that the sanctions have significantly impacted foodstuff imports; they have almost halved in the first two years since the sanctions were imposed. However, Russia has embarked on a path to reduce dependence on food imports and managed self-sufficient agricultural production.
