论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Switching Attention in Time-Varying Environments via Bayesian Inference of Abstractions
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具，其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而，其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间，然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用，该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明，使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器，即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程，也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后，我们表明，当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声，甚至控制方程变得不准确时，我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测，从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
Motivated by the goal of endowing robots with a means for focusing attention in order to operate reliably in complex, uncertain, and time-varying environments, we consider how a robot can (i) determine which portions of its environment to pay attention to at any given point in time, (ii) infer changes in context (e.g., task or environment dynamics), and (iii) switch its attention accordingly. In this work, we tackle these questions by modeling context switches in a time-varying Markov decision process (MDP) framework. We utilize the theory of bisimulation-based state abstractions in order to synthesize mechanisms for paying attention to context-relevant information. We then present an algorithm based on Bayesian inference for detecting changes in the robot's context (task or environment dynamics) as it operates online, and use this to trigger switches between different abstraction-based attention mechanisms. Our approach is demonstrated on two examples: (i) an illustrative discrete-state tracking problem, and (ii) a continuous-state tracking problem implemented on a quadrupedal hardware platform. These examples demonstrate the ability of our approach to detect context switches online and robustly ignore task-irrelevant distractors by paying attention to context-relevant information.
