论文标题
电动汽车和ERCOT：未来采用方案和网格的影响
EVs and ERCOT: Future Adoption Scenarios and Grid Implications
论文作者
论文摘要
电动汽车（电动汽车）在德克萨斯州变得越来越普遍，这主要是由于它们对消费者的吸引力越来越大，并从该州管理机构推动以激励进一步的采用。同时，得克萨斯州电网Ercot的服务一直在看到由于人口不断增长，空调使用增加以及推动其他行业电气化的推动力，电力需求的增加。车辆的电气化只会增加这种需求的增加。本文着重于评估不同的电动汽车采用，收费管理和政策方案，以及它们将如何预期影响ERCOT，尤其是在高峰需求增加方面。峰值需求的强烈增加可能会导致挑战以保持电网的可靠性，从而使其成为任何部门电气化的重要考虑因素。 ERCOT对上一代和计划的安装，EV激励措施的近似有效性，电动汽车充电配置文件和旅行模式的近似有效性，对EV采用对峰值需求的预期影响进行了量化。结果表明，雄心勃勃的电动汽车市场份额目标的实现将在全州范围内有关电力供应的全州范围内可管理，但最终将需要雄心勃勃的收费管理策略，以限制EV车队对高峰需求的潜在巨大影响，以期待到2050年及以后。
Electric vehicles (EVs) are becoming more commonplace in Texas, mainly due to their increasing attractiveness to consumers and pushes from the state's governing bodies to incentivize further adoption. Meanwhile, service from Texas's electric grid, ERCOT, has been seeing increases in power demand due to a growing population, increased air conditioning use, and pushes for electrification across other industries. The electrification of vehicles will only add to this demand increase. This paper focuses on evaluating different EV adoption, charging management, and policy scenarios, and how they will be expected to impact ERCOT, particularly with respect to peak demand increases. A strong increase in the peak demand can lead to challenges to keep the electrical grid's reliability, making it an important consideration for electrification in any sector. The anticipated impacts of EV adoption on peak demand are quantified using ERCOT's data on past generation and planned installations, the approximated effectiveness of EV incentives, EV charging profiles, and travel patterns. The results showcase the fact that the achievement of ambitious EV market share goals will be manageable on a statewide level regarding electricity supply into 2030, but will eventually necessitate ambitious charging management strategies in order to limit the EV fleet's potentially heavy impact on peak demand looking forward into 2050 and beyond.
