论文标题
从因果对到因果图
From Causal Pairs to Causal Graphs
论文作者
论文摘要
由于各种因素,例如有限抽样,未观察到的混杂因素和测量误差,从观察数据中学习的因果结构仍然是一项非平凡的任务。基于约束和基于分数的方法往往由于估计有向无环图(DAG)的组合性质而遭受高计算复杂性。受到因果关系挑战的“因果关系对”的动机,在本文中,我们采用了另一种方法,并在响应研讨会挑战时提出的因果对配对功能所告知的所有可能的图表上产生了概率分布。本文的目的是根据这种概率信息提出新方法,并将其绩效与传统和最先进的方法进行比较。我们在合成数据集和真实数据集上进行的实验表明,我们提出的方法不仅具有统计学上相似或更好的性能,而且还比某些传统方法具有更快的计算方法。
Causal structure learning from observational data remains a non-trivial task due to various factors such as finite sampling, unobserved confounding factors, and measurement errors. Constraint-based and score-based methods tend to suffer from high computational complexity due to the combinatorial nature of estimating the directed acyclic graph (DAG). Motivated by the `Cause-Effect Pair' NIPS 2013 Workshop on Causality Challenge, in this paper, we take a different approach and generate a probability distribution over all possible graphs informed by the cause-effect pair features proposed in response to the workshop challenge. The goal of the paper is to propose new methods based on this probabilistic information and compare their performance with traditional and state-of-the-art approaches. Our experiments, on both synthetic and real datasets, show that our proposed methods not only have statistically similar or better performances than some traditional approaches but also are computationally faster.