论文标题

在黑色星期五,COVID-19的感染暴露于顾客购物

COVID-19 Infection Exposure to Customers Shopping during Black Friday

论文作者

Rolle, Braxton, Kiran, Ravi

论文摘要

在过去的两年中,Covid-19的爆发导致对涉及聚会的大型事件的安全进行了许多进一步的调查。这项研究旨在调查Covid-19如何在没有采取安全预防措施的情况下在商店购物的大量人群中传播。正在调查的活动是黑色星期五,在那里有数百或数千家客户泛滥商店,希望能在受欢迎的商品上获得最佳交易。创建了一个模拟商店,分为几个不同的购物部分,并使用2-D网格代表,该网格上的每个正方形代表模拟商店的5英尺x 5英尺区域。模拟客户进入商店,购物某些物品,退房,然后离开商店。当他们进入商店时,一定比例的客户被选择为感染力,这意味着他们可以将感染量子传播给其他客户。大约有6,000名客户被模拟了四个小时的时间。最大距离暴露可以扩散(2英尺10英尺),受感染所需的最小暴露时间(2-15分钟),以及最初以感染性(1%至5%)的客户百分比发生了变化,并且测量了他们对新感染客户数量的影响。发现将最大接触距离提高2英尺,导致新感染的客户增加了20%至250%,具体取决于所使用的距离。还发现,将最初作为感染力的客户百分比从1%增加到2%,然后增加到5%,从而使新感染的客户增加了200%至300%。

The outbreak of COVID-19 within the last two years has resulted in much further investigation into the safety of large events that involve a gathering of people. This study aims to investigate how COVID-19 can spread through a large crowd of people shopping in a store with no safety precautions taken. The event being investigated is Black Friday, where hundreds or thousands of customers flood stores to hopefully receive the best deals on popular items. A mock store was created, separated into several different shopping sections, and represented using a 2-D grid where each square on the grid represented a 5 feet by 5 feet area of the mock store. Customers were simulated to enter the store, shop for certain items, check out, and then leave the store. A percentage of customers were chosen to be infective when they entered the store, which means that they could spread infection quantum to other customers. Four hours of time was simulated with around 6,000 customers being included. The maximum distance exposure could be spread (2 feet-10 feet), the minimum time of exposure needed to become infected (2 - 15 minutes), and the total percentage of customers who started as infective (1% - 5%) were all changed and their effects on the number of newly infected customers were measured. It was found that increasing the maximum exposure distance by 2 feet resulted in between a 20% to 250% increase in newly infected customers, depending on the distances being used. It was also found that increasing the percentage of customers who started as infective from 1% to 2% and then to 5% resulted in a 200% to 300% increase in newly infected customers.

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