论文标题

基于代理的流行模拟,以比较和解释筛查和疫苗接种优先级策略

An agent-based epidemics simulation to compare and explain screening and vaccination prioritisation strategies

论文作者

Adam, Carole, Arduin, Helene

论文摘要

本文介绍了基于代理的流行动力学模型。该模型愿意简化,因为它的目标不是预测流行病的演变,而是以交互式的方式解释潜在的机制。该模型允许将筛选优先级策略以及疫苗接种优先策略与虚拟人群进行比较。该模型是在Netlogo中在不同模拟器中实现的,在线发布以使人们对其进行实验。本文报告了模型设计,实施和实验。特别是我们比较了通过隔离感染者来评估流行与控制的筛查策略。我们已经比较了有更多风险因素的老年人,与具有更多社交接触的年轻人进行了更多的危险因素。

This paper describes an agent-based model of epidemics dynamics. This model is willingly simplified, as its goal is not to predict the evolution of the epidemics, but to explain the underlying mechanisms in an interactive way. This model allows to compare screening prioritisation strategies, as well as vaccination priority strategies, on a virtual population. The model is implemented in Netlogo in different simulators, published online to let people experiment with them. This paper reports on the model design, implementation, and experimentations. In particular we have compared screening strategies to evaluate the epidemics vs control it by quarantining infectious people; and we have compared vaccinating older people with more risk factors, vs younger people with more social contacts.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源