论文标题
车队级环境评估，以实现航空排放降低目标的可行性
Fleet-Level Environmental Assessments for Feasibility of Aviation Emission Reduction Goals
论文作者
论文摘要
国际航空运输协会（IATA）是几个组织之一，他们为商业航空的未来二氧化碳排放提供了目标，目的是减轻相关的环境影响。这些目标包括在2020年实现碳中性增长和2050年的总航空二氧化碳排放量等于2005 Aviation CO2排放的50％。本文介绍了基于仿真的方法来预测商业航空的未来二氧化碳排放，该方法基于一组场景，作为飞机技术建模和评估项目的一部分，即FAA替代喷气燃料和环境的FAA卓越中心。结果表明，在将来对航空旅行需求不断增长的情况下，很难将2050年的二氧化碳排放量降低到等于或低于2005年水平的水平，尽管2020年以后的中性二氧化碳增长可能是可能的。
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) is one of several organizations that have presented goals for future CO2 emissions from commercial aviation with the intent of alleviating the associated environmental impacts. These goals include attaining carbon-neutral growth in the year 2020 and total aviation CO2 emissions in 2050 equal to 50% of 2005 aviation CO2 emissions. This paper presents the use of a simulation-based approach to predict future CO2 emissions from commercial aviation based upon a set of scenarios developed as part of the Aircraft Technology Modeling and Assessment project within ASCENT, the FAA Center of Excellence for Alternative Jet Fuels and the Environment. Results indicate that, in future scenarios with increasing demand for air travel, it is difficult to reduce CO2 emissions in 2050 to levels equal to or below 2005 levels, although neutral CO2 growth after 2020 may be possible.
