论文标题
高斯流程具有不确定性量化和数字双胞胎的灵敏度分析的实际应用
Practical Applications of Gaussian Process with Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis for Digital Twin for Accident Tolerant Fuel
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具，其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而，其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间，然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用，该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明，使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器，即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程，也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后，我们表明，当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声，甚至控制方程变得不准确时，我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测，从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
The application of digital twin (DT) technology to the nuclear field is one of the challenges in the future development of nuclear energy. Possible applications of DT technology in the nuclear field are expected to be very wide: operate commercial nuclear reactors, monitor spent fuel storage and disposal facilities, and develop new nuclear systems. As U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Committee (NRC) recently announced, machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) will be new domains in the nuclear field. Considering the data science perspective, Gaussian Process (GP) has proven to be an ML algorithm for modeling and simulation components of the digital twin framework, specifically for the accident tolerant fuel (ATF) concepts. ATF is one of the high-priority areas for both the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and NRC. GP's inherent treatment of lack of data, missing data, and data inconsistencies (noisy/erroneous data) present in the ATF concepts make it an attractive machine learning algorithm for implementation in the DT framework. This chapter focuses on the practical demonstration of GP and its applicability to the DT framework for predicting ATF.
