论文标题

IDP-PGFE:基于物理引导的特征提取的可解释的破坏预测变量

IDP-PGFE: An Interpretable Disruption Predictor based on Physics-Guided Feature Extraction

论文作者

Shen, Chengshuo, Zheng, Wei, Ding, Yonghua, Ai, Xinkun, Xue, Fengming, Zhong, Yu, Wang, Nengchao, Gao, Li, Chen, Zhipeng, Yang, Zhoujun, Chen, Zhongyong, Pan, Yuan, team, J-TEXT

论文摘要

近年来,破坏预测取得了迅速的进展,尤其是在机器学习(ML)的方法中。理解为什么预测因子使某个预测可能与预测未来的Tokamak破坏预测指标的准确性一样至关重要。大多数破坏预测因素的目的是准确性或跨机能力。但是,如果可以解释中断预测模型,则可以说明为什么某些样本被归类为中断前体。这使我们能够说出传入的破坏的类型,并使我们深入了解破坏机制。本文设计了一个基于物理引导的特征提取(IDP-PGFE)在J文本上的破坏预测变量。通过提取物理指导的特征有效地改善了模型的预测性能。需要一个高性能模型来确保解释结果的有效性。 IDP-PGFE的可解释性研究提供了对J-Text破坏的理解,并且通常与现有的中断理解一致。 IDP-PGFE已被应用于干扰,这是由于在J文本上的密度极限实验的密度不断增加。 PGFE的时间演变具有贡献,表明ECRH的应用触发了辐射引起的破坏,从而降低了破坏时的密度。虽然RMP的应用确实提高了J文本中的密度极限。可解释性研究指导了RMP不仅会影响MHD不稳定性,而且还会影响辐射谱的密度极限破坏的物理机制,从而延迟了密度极限的破坏。

Disruption prediction has made rapid progress in recent years, especially in machine learning (ML)-based methods. Understanding why a predictor makes a certain prediction can be as crucial as the prediction's accuracy for future tokamak disruption predictors. The purpose of most disruption predictors is accuracy or cross-machine capability. However, if a disruption prediction model can be interpreted, it can tell why certain samples are classified as disruption precursors. This allows us to tell the types of incoming disruption and gives us insight into the mechanism of disruption. This paper designs a disruption predictor called Interpretable Disruption Predictor based On Physics-guided feature extraction (IDP-PGFE) on J-TEXT. The prediction performance of the model is effectively improved by extracting physics-guided features. A high-performance model is required to ensure the validity of the interpretation results. The interpretability study of IDP-PGFE provides an understanding of J-TEXT disruption and is generally consistent with existing comprehension of disruption. IDP-PGFE has been applied to the disruption due to continuously increasing density towards density limit experiments on J-TEXT. The time evolution of the PGFE features contribution demonstrates that the application of ECRH triggers radiation-caused disruption, which lowers the density at disruption. While the application of RMP indeed raises the density limit in J-TEXT. The interpretability study guides intuition on the physical mechanisms of density limit disruption that RMPs affect not only the MHD instabilities but also the radiation profile, which delays density limit disruption.

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