论文标题
COVID-19的经济后果对撒哈拉以南非洲的大流行：一种历史观点
Economic Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Sub-Saharan Africa: A historical perspective
论文作者
论文摘要
本文使用历史方法研究了COVID-19-19的大流行对撒哈拉以南非洲（SSA）的经济后果，并分析了该地区对过去危机及其经济后果的政策反应。该研究采用了GDP的制造价值份额作为绩效指标。分析表明，过去危机的错误政策干预措施使撒哈拉以南非洲次区域陷入了可悲的经济状况。该研究观察到，该地区过早地跃升为进口替代，出口促进和全球价值链。基于这些经验，该地区应采取逐步应对COVID-19的经济后果。该子区域应首先解决可持续性的相关领域，包括在研发上积极投资，以开发本土技术，升级基本基础设施，开发安全基础设施并加强金融部门。
This paper examined the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) using the historical approach and analysing the policy responses of the region to past crises and their economic consequences. The study employed the manufacturing-value-added share of GDP as a performance indicator. The analysis shows that the wrong policy interventions to past crises led the sub-Saharan African sub-region into its deplorable economic situation. The study observed that the region leapfrogged prematurely to import substitution, export promotion, and global value chains. Based on these experiences, the region should adopt a gradual approach in responding to the COVID-19 economic consequences. The sub-region should first address relevant areas of sustainability, including proactive investment in research and development to develop homegrown technology, upgrade essential infrastructural facilities, develop security infrastructure, and strengthen the financial sector.
