论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Tracing the Top-of-the-atmosphere and Vertical Cloud Structure of a fast-rotating late T-dwarf

论文作者

Manjavacas, Elena, Karalidi, Theodora, Tan, Xianyu, Vos, Johanna M., Lew, Ben W. P., Biller, Beth A., Oliveros-Gomez, Natalia

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

Only a handful of late-T brown dwarfs have been monitored for spectro-photometric variability, leaving incomplete the study of the atmospheric cloud structures of the coldest brown dwarfs, that share temperatures with some cold, directly-imaged exoplanets. 2MASSJ00501994-332240 is a T7.0 rapidly rotating, field brown dwarf that showed low-level photometric variability in data obtained with the Spitzer Space telescope. We monitored 2MASSJ00501994-332240 during ~2.6 hr with MOSFIRE, installed at the Keck I telescope, with the aim of constraining its near-infrared spectro-photometric variability. We measured fluctuations with a peak-to-peak amplitude of 1.48+\-0.75% in the J-band photometric light curve, an amplitude of 0.62+/-0.18% in the J-band spectro-photometric light curve, and an amplitude of 1.26+/-0.93% in the H-band light curve, and an amplitude of 5.33+/-2.02% in the CH_4-H_2O band light curve. Nevertheless, the Bayesian Information Criterion does not detect significant variability in any of the light curves. Thus, given the detection limitations due to the MOSFIRE sensitivity, we can only claim tentative low-level variability for 2M0050-3322 in the best-case scenario. The amplitudes of the peak-to-peak fluctuations measured for 2MASSJ00501994-332240 agree with the variability amplitude predictions of General Circulation Models for a T7.0 brown dwarf for an edge on object. Radiative-transfer models predict that the Na_2S and KCl clouds condense at pressures lower than that traced by the CH_4-H_2O band, which might explain the higher peak-to-peak fluctuations measured for this light curve. Finally, we provide a visual recreation of the map provided by General Circulation Models and the vertical structure of 2MASSJ00501994-332240 provided by radiative-transfer models.

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