论文标题
对决策的不确定性推理和量化的调查:信念理论符合深度学习
A Survey on Uncertainty Reasoning and Quantification for Decision Making: Belief Theory Meets Deep Learning
论文作者
论文摘要
对不确定性的深入了解是在不确定性下做出有效决策的第一步。深度/机器学习(ML/DL)已被大大利用,以解决处理高维数据所涉及的复杂问题。但是,与其他人工智能(AI)领域相比,在ML/DL中,推理和量化不同类型的不确定性的探索少得多。特别是,自1960年代以来,已经在KRR研究了信念/证据理论,以推理并衡量不确定性以提高决策效率。我们发现,只有少数研究利用了ML/DL中的信念/证据理论中的成熟不确定性研究来解决不同类型的不确定性下的复杂问题。在本调查论文中,我们讨论了一些流行的信念理论及其核心思想,这些理论涉及不确定性原因和类型,并量化它们,并讨论其在ML/DL中的适用性。此外,我们讨论了三种主要方法,这些方法在深层神经网络(DNN)中利用信念理论,包括证据DNN,模糊DNN和粗糙的DNN,就其不确定性原因,类型和量化方法以及它们在多元化问题域中的适用性而言。根据我们的深入调查,我们讨论了见解,经验教训,对当前最新桥接信念理论的局限性和ML/DL,最后是未来的研究方向。
An in-depth understanding of uncertainty is the first step to making effective decisions under uncertainty. Deep/machine learning (ML/DL) has been hugely leveraged to solve complex problems involved with processing high-dimensional data. However, reasoning and quantifying different types of uncertainties to achieve effective decision-making have been much less explored in ML/DL than in other Artificial Intelligence (AI) domains. In particular, belief/evidence theories have been studied in KRR since the 1960s to reason and measure uncertainties to enhance decision-making effectiveness. We found that only a few studies have leveraged the mature uncertainty research in belief/evidence theories in ML/DL to tackle complex problems under different types of uncertainty. In this survey paper, we discuss several popular belief theories and their core ideas dealing with uncertainty causes and types and quantifying them, along with the discussions of their applicability in ML/DL. In addition, we discuss three main approaches that leverage belief theories in Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), including Evidential DNNs, Fuzzy DNNs, and Rough DNNs, in terms of their uncertainty causes, types, and quantification methods along with their applicability in diverse problem domains. Based on our in-depth survey, we discuss insights, lessons learned, limitations of the current state-of-the-art bridging belief theories and ML/DL, and finally, future research directions.