论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Competition on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ driven by branching random walk

论文作者

Deijfen, Maria, Vilkas, Timo

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

A competition process on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ is considered, where two species compete to color the sites. The entities are driven by branching random walks. Specifically red (blue) particles reproduce in discrete time and place offspring according to a given reproduction law, which may be different for the two types. When a red (blue) particle is placed at a site that has not been occupied by any particle before, the site is colored red (blue) and keeps this color forever. The types interact in that, when a particle is placed at a site of opposite color, the particle adopts the color of the site with probability $p\in[0,1]$. Can a given type color infinitely many sites? Can both types color infinitely many sites simultaneously? Partial answers are given to these questions and many open problems are formulated.

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