论文标题
通过校准估计的响应概率的抽样推断
Inference from Sampling with Response Probabilities Estimated via Calibration
论文作者
论文摘要
控制无响应偏差的解决方案包括将受访者的设计权重乘以估计的响应概率的倒数,以补偿非反应率。最大似然和校准是可以应用的两种方法来获得估计的响应概率。我们考虑了可以比较这些方法的共同框架。我们对应用校准时对所得估计量的行为进行了渐近研究。假定响应概率的逻辑回归模型。假设在随机和未群集的数据上缺少。这项工作的三个主要贡献是:1)我们表明,通过校准估计的响应概率的估计量在渐近上等同于公正的估计器,并且在通过校准估算响应概率与估计器相比,与估计器相比,与响应概率相比,通过校准估算响应概率和真实的响应概率,我们表明了calibripation calibripation do calibripation doutul calibration doutul callibrations dougation dou估计,并获得效率的提高,2)当应用最大似然时,不能保证鲁棒性,3)我们讨论并说明与响应概率估计有关的问题,即对估计方程,收敛问题和极端权重的解决方案存在。我们解释并说明了为什么上述第一个问题与校准相比,与最大似然估计更有可能更有可能。我们提出了一项模拟研究的结果,以说明这些元素。
A solution to control for nonresponse bias consists of multiplying the design weights of respondents by the inverse of estimated response probabilities to compensate for the nonrespondents. Maximum likelihood and calibration are two approaches that can be applied to obtain estimated response probabilities. We consider a common framework in which these approaches can be compared. We develop an asymptotic study of the behavior of the resulting estimator when calibration is applied. A logistic regression model for the response probabilities is postulated. Missing at random and unclustered data are supposed. Three main contributions of this work are: 1) we show that the estimators with the response probabilities estimated via calibration are asymptotically equivalent to unbiased estimators and that a gain in efficiency is obtained when estimating the response probabilities via calibration as compared to the estimator with the true response probabilities, 2) we show that the estimators with the response probabilities estimated via calibration are doubly robust to model misspecification and explain why double robustness is not guaranteed when maximum likelihood is applied, and 3) we discuss and illustrate problems related to response probabilities estimation, namely existence of a solution to the estimating equations, problems of convergence, and extreme weights. We explain and illustrate why the first aforementioned problem is more likely with calibration than with maximum likelihood estimation. We present the results of a simulation study in order to illustrate these elements.