论文标题

从无线电脉冲星推断出的更新的故障率定律

An updated glitch rate law inferred from radio pulsars

论文作者

Millhouse, Margaret, Melatos, Andrew, Howitt, George, Carlin, Julian B., Dunn, Liam, Ashton, Gregory

论文摘要

无线电脉冲星故障探测涉及压力积累和中子恒星室内放松的远程平衡过程。先前对故障率的研究集中在单个脉冲星上,并具有尽可能多的记录故障。在这项工作中,我们使用所有可用的数据(包括从未或一次都被故障的对象)分析故障率。我们假设故障速率遵循均匀的泊松过程,因此排除了表现出准碘毛刺行为的脉冲星。计算相关的贝叶斯因子表明,与特征年龄$τ$的功能相比,小故障率$λ$比例比任意取决于旋转频率$ν$和/或其时间派生$ \dotν$的模型优先。对于$λ= a(τ/τ\ vref)^{ - γ} $,其中$τ_ {\ rm ref} = 1 \ {\ rm yr} $是一个参考时间,后验分布是单峰的,$ a = \ aaglitch \\ rm a = \ rm rm rm rm rm {yr rm {yr} $γ= \ modelagammaglitch $。重要的是,数据排除在99 \%信心中,可能性$γ= 1 $在文献中划分。当包括零记录故障的对象时,基于年龄的费率定律仍然是首选,并且后代更改为$ a = \ modelaaAll \ \ rm {yr}^{ - 1} $和$γ= \ model Modelagammaall $。更新的估计仍然支持增加年轻脉冲星的故障活动,同时证明大量零故障的物体包含有关该速率的重要统计信息,前提是它们是同一人群的一部分,而不是出于某些未知的物理原因而从未小故障的人群的一部分。

Radio pulsar glitches probe far-from-equilibrium processes involving stress accumulation and relaxation in neutron star interiors. Previous studies of glitch rates have focused on individual pulsars with as many recorded glitches as possible. In this work we analyze glitch rates using all available data including objects that have glitched never or once. We assume the glitch rate follows a homogeneous Poisson process, and therefore exclude pulsars which exhibit quasiperiodic glitching behavior. Calculating relevant Bayes factors shows that a model in which the glitch rate $λ$ scales as a power of the characteristic age $τ$ is preferred over models which depend arbitrarily on powers of the spin frequency $ν$ and/or its time derivative $\dotν$. For $λ= A (τ/τ\vref)^{-γ}$, where $τ_{\rm ref}=1\ {\rm yr}$ is a reference time, the posterior distributions are unimodal with $A=\ModelAAglitch\ \rm{yr}^{-1}$, and $γ=\ModelAgammaglitch$. Importantly, the data exclude with 99\% confidence the possibility $γ=1$ canvassed in the literature. When objects with zero recorded glitches are included, the age-based rate law is still preferred and the posteriors change to give $A=\ModelAAall\ \rm{yr}^{-1}$, and $γ=\ModelAgammaall$. The updated estimates still support increased glitch activity for younger pulsars, while demonstrating that the large number of objects with zero glitches contain important statistical information about the rate, provided that they are part of the same population as opposed to a disjoint population which never glitches for some unknown physical reason.

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