论文标题
在城市交通中的动态起源矩阵估计的不同方法的比较
A Comparison of Different Approaches to Dynamic Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation in Urban Traffic
论文作者
论文摘要
鉴于遍及交通网络的道路的车辆柜台,我们根据用户进行的原始目的地旅行的数量来重建产生它们的旅行需求。我们将问题建模为双层优化问题。在内部层面上,鉴于暂定的需求,我们解决了动态的流量分配(DTA)问题,以决定用户在起源和目的地之间的路由。最后,我们调整了外部级别的旅行及其起源和目的地的数量,以最大程度地减少在内部层面上生成的计数器与传感器在交通网络中测量的给定车辆计数之间的差异。我们通过采用流量模拟器Sumo实现的介观模型来解决DTA问题。因此,外部问题成为一个优化问题,它最大程度地减少了由模拟结果确定的黑框目标函数(OF),这是一个昂贵的计算。我们研究了分类为基于梯度和无衍生化方法的外部问题的不同方法。在基于梯度的方法中,我们研究了一种基于分配矩阵的方法和一种使用同时扰动随机近似(SPSA)算法的分配矩阵的方法。在无衍生方法的方法中,我们研究了机器学习(ML)算法,以学习模拟器的模型,然后可以将其用作优化问题中的替代物。我们在人工网络上以计算方式比较这些方法。基于梯度的方法在解决方案质量和计算要求方面表现最好。相反,通过ML方法获得的结果目前不那么令人满意,但为将来的研究提供了有趣的途径。
Given the counters of vehicles that traverse the roads of a traffic network, we reconstruct the travel demand that generated them expressed in terms of the number of origin-destination trips made by users. We model the problem as a bi-level optimization problem. At the inner-level, given a tentative demand, we solve a Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) problem to decide the routing of the users between their origins and destinations. Finally, we adjust the number of trips and their origins and destinations at the outer-level to minimize the discrepancy between the counters generated at the inner-level and the given vehicle counts measured by sensors in the traffic network. We solve the DTA problem by employing a mesoscopic model implemented by the traffic simulator SUMO. Thus, the outer problem becomes an optimization problem that minimizes a black-box Objective Function (OF) determined by the results of the simulation, which is a costly computation. We study different approaches to the outer-level problem categorized as gradient-based and derivative-free approaches. Among the gradient-based approaches, we look at an assignment matrix-based approach and an assignment matrix-free approach that uses the Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation (SPSA) algorithm. Among the derivative-free approaches, we investigate Machine Learning (ML) algorithms to learn a model of the simulator that can then be used as a surrogate OF in the optimization problem. We compare these approaches computationally on an artificial network. The gradient-based approaches perform the best in terms of solution quality and computational requirements. In contrast, the results obtained by the ML approach are currently less satisfactory but provide an interesting avenue for future research.