论文标题
通过可解释的神经网络对滑坡敏感性建模
Landslide Susceptibility Modeling by Interpretable Neural Network
论文作者
论文摘要
众所周知,山体滑坡很难预测,因为在空间和时间上有许多变化的因素有助于斜率稳定性。人工神经网络(ANN)已显示可提高预测准确性,但在很大程度上无法解释。在这里,我们介绍了一个加法ANN优化框架,以评估滑坡易感性,以及数据集分区和结果解释技术。我们将我们的方法称为完全可解释性,高精度,高推广性和低模型复杂性,是超固有神经网络(SNN)优化。我们通过从三个最东端的喜马拉雅地区的滑坡库存培训模型来验证我们的方法。我们的SNN表现优于基于身体和统计模型,并达到了与最先进的深神经网络相似的性能。 SNN模型发现,斜坡,降水和山坡方面的产物是高滑坡易感性的重要主要因素,这突出了强烈的斜率气候耦合以及微气候,在滑坡事件上的重要性。
Landslides are notoriously difficult to predict because numerous spatially and temporally varying factors contribute to slope stability. Artificial neural networks (ANN) have been shown to improve prediction accuracy but are largely uninterpretable. Here we introduce an additive ANN optimization framework to assess landslide susceptibility, as well as dataset division and outcome interpretation techniques. We refer to our approach, which features full interpretability, high accuracy, high generalizability and low model complexity, as superposable neural network (SNN) optimization. We validate our approach by training models on landslide inventory from three different easternmost Himalaya regions. Our SNN outperformed physically-based and statistical models and achieved similar performance to state-of-the-art deep neural networks. The SNN models found the product of slope and precipitation and hillslope aspect to be important primary contributors to high landslide susceptibility, which highlights the importance of strong slope-climate couplings, along with microclimates, on landslide occurrences.