论文标题
决策分析中协议的价值：概念，措施和应用
Value of agreement in decision analysis: Concept, measures and application
论文作者
论文摘要
在多标准决策分析研讨会中，参与者在讨论评分小组之前经常评估选项。个人评估导致分数范围，然后该小组寻求必要的协议来确定其首选选择。优先编程使某些选项甚至可以在小组同意为他们的精确评分之前就被确定为主导。研讨会参与者通常会面临时间压力以做出决定。可以通过标记选项来提供决策支持，这些选项的进一步达成共识似乎特别有价值。凭借宝贵的意义，我们的意思是有机会将其他选项确定为主导（使用偏好编程），而无需事先同意其精确的分数。本文量化了协议的这一价值，并将概念扩展到投资组合决策分析和标准权重。新概念通过招聘案例研究得到了验证。
In multi-criteria decision analysis workshops, participants often appraise the options individually before discussing the scoring as a group. The individual appraisals lead to score ranges within which the group then seeks the necessary agreement to identify their preferred option. Preference programming enables some options to be identified as dominated even before the group agrees on a precise scoring for them. Workshop participants usually face time pressure to make a decision. Decision support can be provided by flagging options for which further agreement on their scores seems particularly valuable. By valuable, we mean the opportunity to identify other options as dominated (using preference programming) without having their precise scores agreed beforehand. The present paper quantifies this Value of Agreement and extends the concept to portfolio decision analysis and criterion weights. The new concept is validated through a case study in recruitment.
