论文标题

AST-GCN:属性增强的时空图卷积网络,用于交通预测

AST-GCN: Attribute-Augmented Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Forecasting

论文作者

Zhu, Jiawei, Tao, Chao, Deng, Hanhan, Zhao, Ling, Wang, Pu, Lin, Tao, Li, Haifeng

论文摘要

在智能运输领域,交通预测是一项基本且具有挑战性的任务。准确的预测不仅取决于历史交通流信息,而且还需要考虑各种外部因素的影响,例如天气条件和周围的POI分布。最近,整合图形卷积网络和复发性神经网络的时空模型已成为流量预测的研究热点,并取得了重大进展。但是,很少有作品整合了外部因素。因此,基于引入外部因素可以提高时空精度在预测流量和改善可解释性方面的假设,我们提出了一个属性增强的时空图卷积网络(AST-GCN)。我们将外部因素建模为动态属性和静态属性,并设计一个属性的单元,以将这些因素编码和集成到时空图卷积模型中。与传统的流量预测方法相比,实际数据集上的实验显示了考虑有关流量预测任务的外部信息的有效性。此外,在不同的属性调节方案和预测范围设置下,AST-GCN的预测准确性高于基准的预测准确性。

Traffic forecasting is a fundamental and challenging task in the field of intelligent transportation. Accurate forecasting not only depends on the historical traffic flow information but also needs to consider the influence of a variety of external factors, such as weather conditions and surrounding POI distribution. Recently, spatiotemporal models integrating graph convolutional networks and recurrent neural networks have become traffic forecasting research hotspots and have made significant progress. However, few works integrate external factors. Therefore, based on the assumption that introducing external factors can enhance the spatiotemporal accuracy in predicting traffic and improving interpretability, we propose an attribute-augmented spatiotemporal graph convolutional network (AST-GCN). We model the external factors as dynamic attributes and static attributes and design an attribute-augmented unit to encode and integrate those factors into the spatiotemporal graph convolution model. Experiments on real datasets show the effectiveness of considering external information on traffic forecasting tasks when compared to traditional traffic prediction methods. Moreover, under different attribute-augmented schemes and prediction horizon settings, the forecasting accuracy of the AST-GCN is higher than that of the baselines.

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