论文标题
预计发现和排除敏感性的标准计数实验的敏感性
Criteria for projected discovery and exclusion sensitivities of counting experiments
论文作者
论文摘要
通常使用预期的$ p $值或相应的意义来量化粒子物理和天体物理学/宇宙学实验的预计发现和排除能力。我们认为该标准会导致缺陷结果，例如，如果实验获取更多数据或减少其背景，则可以违反直觉投射降低敏感性。我们讨论了中位数预期意义的几种替代方案的优点，无论是在众所周知，何时会出现一些不确定性。我们主张标准使用本文中详细介绍的“精确Asimov意义” $ z^{\ rm a} $。
The projected discovery and exclusion capabilities of particle physics and astrophysics/cosmology experiments are often quantified using the median expected $p$-value or its corresponding significance. We argue that this criterion leads to flawed results, which for example can counterintuitively project lessened sensitivities if the experiment takes more data or reduces its background. We discuss the merits of several alternatives to the median expected significance, both when the background is known and when it is subject to some uncertainty. We advocate for standard use of the "exact Asimov significance" $Z^{\rm A}$ detailed in this paper.
