论文标题
全球化？贸易战？一个平衡的观点
Globalization? Trade War? A Counterbalance Perspective
论文作者
论文摘要
本文探讨了国际贸易的激动人心的动态，重点是全球贸易网络中竞争与合作之间的战略平衡。它强调了竞争优势，而不是比较优势，驱动贸易冲突和脱虫化。通过使用权力平衡，本文引入了竞争力的定量衡量标准，这是所有国家以及贸易平衡的共同目标。然后，它研究了各国如何通过全球化，保护主义，贸易合作或冲突来提高其竞争力量和贸易平衡。该研究为政策制定者提供了有关管理贸易关系，解决冲突以及通过分析贸易数据确定全球化水平的实用见解。通过2000年至2019年的现实世界贸易数据，通过理论驱动的定量证据与历史事件之间的比较来支持该分析。
This paper explores the exciting dynamics of international trade, focusing on the strategic balance between competition and cooperation in the global trade network. It highlights how competitive advantages, rather than comparative advantages, drive trade conflicts and deglobalization. By using the balance of power, the paper introduces a quantitative measure of competitiveness that serves as a common goal for all countries, alongside trade balance. It then examines how nations can boost their competitive strength and trade balance through globalization, protectionism, trade collaboration, or conflict. The study provides practical insights for policymakers on managing trade relationships, resolving conflicts, and determining the right level of globalization by analyzing trade data. The analysis is supported by a comparison between theory-driven quantitative evidence and historical events, using real-world trade data from 2000 to 2019.
