论文标题

澳大利亚的零碳,可靠且负担得起的能源未来

A zero-carbon, reliable and affordable energy future in Australia

论文作者

Lu, Bin, Blakers, Andrew, Stocks, Matthew, Cheng, Cheng, Nadolny, Anna

论文摘要

澳大利亚是世界上人均能源消耗和世界温室气体排放量最高的之一。它也是人均年度快速部署新太阳能和风能的全球领导者,这导致该国的排放下降。澳大利亚位于低压纬度,全球人口的四分之三。这些因素使澳大利亚的体验在全球范围内具有重要意义。在这项研究中,我们对完全脱碳的电力系统进行建模,并在澳大利亚的加热,运输和工业完全电气化,从而降低了80%的温室气体排放。基于长期(10年),高分辨率(半小时)气象和能量需求数据的能源供求平衡。该模型的一个重要特征是,短期的外向储能和分布式能量存储用于支持可变太阳能和风能的大规模整合。结果表明,通过柔性能源的协同作用,可以有效地实现高水平的可靠性和可负担性。在大面积上电网的互连;需求端参与的反应;和质量储能。该策略代表了朝着日晒内部零碳能的快速途径。

Australia has one of the highest per capita consumption of energy and emissions of greenhouse gases in the world. It is also the global leader in rapid per capita annual deployment of new solar and wind energy, which is causing the country's emissions to decline. Australia is located at low-moderate latitudes along with three quarters of the global population. These factors make the Australian experience globally significant. In this study, we model a fully decarbonised electricity system together with complete electrification of heating, transport and industry in Australia leading to an 80% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. An energy supply-demand balance is simulated based on long-term (10 years), high-resolution (half-hourly) meteorological and energy demand data. A significant feature of this model is that short-term off-river energy storage and distributed energy storage are utilised to support the large-scale integration of variable solar and wind energy. The results show that high levels of energy reliability and affordability can be effectively achieved through a synergy of flexible energy sources; interconnection of electricity grids over large areas; response from demand-side participation; and mass energy storage. This strategy represents a rapid and generic pathway towards zero-carbon energy futures within the Sunbelt.

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