论文标题
考虑大流行期间的不确定性
Accounting for Uncertainty During a Pandemic
论文作者
论文摘要
我们讨论了最近和正在进行的冠状病毒研究中出现的统计设计,数据收集,分析,沟通和决策的几个问题,重点是评估和传播不确定性的工具。本文并不是对研究文献的全面调查。相反,我们使用示例来说明我们认为很重要的统计点。
We discuss several issues of statistical design, data collection, analysis, communication, and decision making that have arisen in recent and ongoing coronavirus studies, focusing on tools for assessment and propagation of uncertainty. This paper does not purport to be a comprehensive survey of the research literature; rather, we use examples to illustrate statistical points that we think are important.