论文标题

COVID-19大流行期间的风险态度和人类流动性

Risk Attitudes and Human Mobility during the COVID-19 Pandemic

论文作者

Chan, Ho Fai, Skali, Ahmed, Savage, David, Stadelmann, David, Torgler, Benno

论文摘要

与风险态度相比,对大流行的行为反应对实际死亡率或住院风险的影响较小。我们探索人类的流动模式,以衡量19009年期间行为反应的量度。我们的结果表明,冒险态度是预测人类流动性减少并增加全球社会限制的关键因素。我们发现,在世界卫生组织(世界卫生组织)宣布Covid-19为大流行之后,运动的急剧下降可能归因于风险态度。我们的结果表明,具有规避风险态度的地区甚至在大多数官方政府封锁之前就更有可能根据宣布大流行而调整其行为活动。进一步理解对流行病的反应基础,例如预防性行为,将有助于改善病毒传播的遏制。

Behavioral responses to pandemics are less shaped by actual mortality or hospitalization risks than they are by risk attitudes. We explore human mobility patterns as a measure of behavioral responses during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results indicate that risk-taking attitude is a critical factor in predicting reduction in human mobility and increase social confinement around the globe. We find that the sharp decline in movement after the WHO (World Health Organization) declared COVID-19 to be a pandemic can be attributed to risk attitudes. Our results suggest that regions with risk-averse attitudes are more likely to adjust their behavioral activity in response to the declaration of a pandemic even before most official government lockdowns. Further understanding of the basis of responses to epidemics, e.g., precautionary behavior, will help improve the containment of the spread of the virus.

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