论文标题
仅基于社会疏远水平来控制流行病
Controlling epidemic diseases based only on social distancing level
论文作者
论文摘要
世界卫生组织（WHO）评估了Covid-19可以在2020年3月11日被描述为大流行。到19日疫情，没有疫苗接种，也没有治疗。控制Covid-19爆发的唯一方法是持续的身体距离。在这项工作中，提出了一项简单的控制法，以使受感染的人在19日期爆发期间保持受感染的人数低于所需的数量。拟议的控制法使受感染的个体的价值只能调整社会疏远水平。对拟议的控制法进行了稳定性分析，并考虑了参数中的不确定性。开发了提议的控制器到每日更新的版本。这是针对开发控制法的一种非常简单的方法，可以在电子表格中进行计算。最后，进行了数值模拟，以表明在拟议的对照定律用于调整社会距离水平时，在流行病中被感染个体的行为。
The World Health Organization (WHO) made the assessment that COVID-19 can be characterized as a pandemic on March 11, 2020. To the COVID-19 outbreak, there is no vaccination and no treatment. The only way to control the COVID-19 outbreak is sustained physical distancing. In this work, a simple control law was proposed to keep the infected individuals during the COVID-19 outbreak below the desired number. The proposed control law keeps the value of infected individuals controlled only adjusting the social distancing level. The stability analysis of the proposed control law is done and the uncertainties in the parameters were considered. A version of the proposed controller to daily update was developed. This is a very simple approach to the developed control law and can be calculated in a spreadsheet. In the end, numerical simulations were done to show the behavior of the number of infected individuals during an epidemic disease when the proposed control law is used to adjust the social distancing level.
