论文标题

与地理学的流行模型

Epidemic models with geography

论文作者

Wilson, Alan

论文摘要

大多数流行病模型都是空间汇总的,最用于计划和政策数字的指数通常是指单个感兴趣的系统。即使计算针对每个相邻区域,地区或国家 /地区的R号,它们之间也没有相互作用。在这里,我们旨在提供一个细粒度的地理:与交互作用的空间分类系统中的流行病模型。这提供了对旨在缓解和控制的流行病和政策动态的新见解的可能性。

Most epidemic models are spatially aggregate and the index which is most used for planning and policy numbers, the r number, typically refers to a single system of interest. Even if r numbers are calculated for each of adjacent areas, regions or countries for example, there is no interaction between them. Here we aim to offer a fine-grained geography: models of epidemics in spatially disaggregated systems with interactions. This offers the possibility of new insights into the dynamics of epidemics and of policies aimed at mitigation and control.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源