论文标题
证券之间的协方差/相关矩阵的精制模型
Refined model of the covariance/correlation matrix between securities
论文作者
论文摘要
已经引入了一种新的方法,以根据使用财务数据的有限的主成分分析来清洁单股票返回的相关矩阵。引入了投资组合,即“基本最大差异投资组合”,以最佳方式捕获财务标准(“书”,“资本化”等)所定义的风险。然后,分析了相关矩阵的约束特征向量,即这些投资组合的线性组合。得益于这种方法,确定了矩阵的几种风格化模式:i)第一个特征值从1分钟到几个月的时间尺度增加似乎遵循了所有具有2个制度的重要特征值的法律; ii)普遍的法律似乎控制着所有“最大差异”投资组合的权重,因此,根据该法律,最佳权重应基于金融研究的标准与排名成正比; iii)“最大方差”投资组合(不是正交的)波动性的波动率可能足以解释相关矩阵扩散的很大一部分; iv)仅出于第一种模式而出现杠杆作用(股市下降的第一个特征值随着股票市场下降而增加),不能概括其他风险因素。杠杆作用对Beta的效果,即对市场模式的股票的敏感性,使第一个特征向量的权重变化。
A new methodology has been introduced to clean the correlation matrix of single stocks returns based on a constrained principal component analysis using financial data. Portfolios were introduced, namely "Fundamental Maximum Variance Portfolios", to capture in an optimal way the risks defined by financial criteria ("Book", "Capitalization", etc.). The constrained eigenvectors of the correlation matrix, which are the linear combination of these portfolios, are then analyzed. Thanks to this methodology, several stylized patterns of the matrix were identified: i) the increase of the first eigenvalue with a time scale from 1 minute to several months seems to follow the same law for all the significant eigenvalues with 2 regimes; ii) a universal law seems to govern the weights of all the "Maximum variance" portfolios, so according to that law, the optimal weights should be proportional to the ranking based on the financial studied criteria; iii) the volatility of the volatility of the "Maximum Variance" portfolios, which are not orthogonal, could be enough to explain a large part of the diffusion of the correlation matrix; iv) the leverage effect (increase of the first eigenvalue with the decline of the stock market) occurs only for the first mode and cannot be generalized for other factors of risk. The leverage effect on the beta, which is the sensitivity of stocks with the market mode, makes variable the weights of the first eigenvector.