论文标题

与道路安全成果相关联:德克萨斯州奥斯汀的见解

Associating Ridesourcing with Road Safety Outcomes: Insights from Austin Texas

论文作者

Kontou, Eleftheria, McDonald, Noreen C.

论文摘要

改善道路安全性并设定减少与交通相关的撞车事故和死亡的设定目标,这是联合国可持续发展目标和全球范围零努力的一部分。运输网络公司的出现,例如乘车,扩大了城市的出行选择,并可能影响道路安全成果。在这项研究中,我们分析了在得克萨斯州特拉维斯县醉酒(DWI)犯罪时,骑车使用对道路撞车,伤害,死亡和驾驶的影响。我们的方法利用实时骑行量来解释道路安全结果的变化。部署具有固定效果的空间面板数据模型,以检查使用骑车的使用是否与道路崩溃和其他安全指标显着相关。我们的结果表明,随着骑车旅行的增加10%,我们预计道路撞车事故会下降0.12%(p <0.05),道路伤害下降0.25%(p <0.001),DWI犯罪率下降了0.36%(p <0.0001)(p <0.0001)。骑车的使用与道路死亡无关,其显着性水平为0.05。这项研究增加了现有的工作,因为它超出了骑车存在或不存在的二进制指标,并分析了城市化地区内的模式,而不是大都市级别的变化。贡献包括开发一种评估骑车使用对我们运输系统安全的影响的数据丰富方法,该方法可能是对其他美国城市进行未来分析的模板。我们的发现通过澄清乘以使用和交通安全之间的关联来为决策者提供反馈,同时帮助确定一组动作以实现更安全,更有效的共享移动性系统。

Improving road safety and setting targets for reducing traffic-related crashes and deaths are highlighted as part of the United Nation's sustainable development goals and vision zero efforts around the globe. The advent of transportation network companies, such as ridesourcing, expands mobility options in cities and may impact road safety outcomes. In this study, we analyze the effects of ridesourcing use on road crashes, injuries, fatalities, and driving while intoxicated (DWI) offenses in Travis County Texas. Our approach leverages real-time ridesourcing volume to explain variation in road safety outcomes. Spatial panel data models with fixed effects are deployed to examine whether the use of ridesourcing is significantly associated with road crashes and other safety metrics. Our results suggest that for a 10% increase in ridesourcing trips, we expect a 0.12% decrease in road crashes (p<0.05), a 0.25% decrease in road injuries (p<0.001), and a 0.36% decrease in DWI offenses (p<0.0001) in Travis County. Ridesourcing use is not associated with road fatalities at a 0.05 significance level. This study augments existing work because it moves beyond binary indicators of ridesourcing presence or absence and analyzes patterns within an urbanized area rather than metropolitan-level variation. Contributions include developing a data-rich approach for assessing the impacts of ridesourcing use on our transportation system's safety, which may serve as a template for future analyses of other US cities. Our findings provide feedback to policymakers by clarifying associations between ridesourcing use and traffic safety, while helping identify sets of actions to achieve safer and more efficient shared mobility systems.

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